articles
Research-based articles discussing market trends, industry insights, and tactical strategies.
The Great Repression
The Great Repression In articles I wrote, and in national news interviews where I appeared starting in December 2019, I put the odds of a recession at 30%. In January 2020, I raised the odds to 80%, and in March, I increased the odds to 100%. Things are changing so...
Act As If A Recession Is In The Cards
Act As If A Recession Is In The Cards Too many Americans are notorious for acting like they are trying to keep up with the Kardashian’s. As we spend, baby spend, we are not at all prepared for any rainy days, anytime in our future. In fact, “54% of Americans do not...
From Complacency to Panic in a Nanosecond
From Complacency to Panic in a Nanosecond The coronavirus has made its way to the Western world, sparking fears of a global pandemic. Of concern is a new case in California where the patient had not come from a country known to have the virus. Which means the patient...
The Perils of Passive Investing
The Perils of Passive InvestingAmidst the stock selloff in December 2018, where the market was off 20% according to Yahoo Finance, my friend, Jeffrey Gundlach sounded the alarm on passive investing. “I wouldn’t advise anyone to be a passive investor,” Gundlach said in...
New Year, New Risk
2019 was a terrific year for investors everywhere. The first trading day in 2020 started off with a bang followed by a killing that should scare unprepared investors. Rather than fundamentals, last year’s market was built on hope, easy money, and stock buybacks....
The Real Deal
The Real DealUnlike many of my peers, our clients know that we have focused for two decades by paying for independent, objective research on analyzing demographics and spending patterns through the lens of two different scopes; generational spending waves and the...
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